The stock market experienced a rough time what with Lehman Brothers’ bankruptcy and the sale of Merril Lynch resulting in a market plummet on their news.
But for the average Joe, it is not the price of stocks that worries him, but the price of houses.
Actually, the real estate market had a lot to do with the debacle in the finance and stock markets. With the easy money policies that existed, borrowers were able to borrow over their heads, and banks did not vet the loans properly because they could just market them on the secondary market. Banks were happy to lend whatever amounts homebuyers required, since they knew they could sell the loan; buyers of these securitized loans were confident that the default risk would ultimately fall on Fannie Mae. Nearly $7 trillion of new residential real estate and consumer debt was created in the beginning 6 years of this decade, according to Daniel Alpert, managing director of Westwood Capital. As a result, debt due by homeowners and consumers in general doubled from 1999 levels. This could not go on without repercussions.
This type of economic swing is bound to have an effect on every market. The IMF projects that the crisis in worldwide credit probably cost as much as $1trillion in 2008.
This spiraling crisis will have a substantial impact on the home lending market. Banking lines of credit have shrunk a great deal. Plus, consumers have to stop borrowing in other areas, now that their mortgages are threatened, which means less lending business for banks, which means reduced income.
All loans, and not just mortgages will be difficult to get. For some, this may be the best news for a while, since it may signal more normal lending practices.
But there may be a bonus for potential buyers in this crisis. Since there are not enough mortgages being granted, houses are going begging so prices will continue to go down. Tight credit also cuts out speculative buyers, who created a strong upward pressure on housing prices during the real estate upswing. For buyers who have put off their home purchases because of these inflated prices, they may still see prices coming down to their range. Especially for those who used this waiting time to build a savings account for a larger down payment and have maintained a good credit rating, they will have their pick of lenders and houses.
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